A new Politico-Ipsos poll Tuesday showed Americans’ perception of former President Donald Trump’s criminal cases, with a notable shift among independents.

The poll, based on responses from 1,024 adults in the general U.S. population, found that about half of Americans believe that Trump is guilty in each of the four criminal cases he is facing: the Manhattan “hush money” case, the Mar-a-Lago documents case, the Georgia election interference case and the federal election interference case. Ipsos noted in its reports that the numbers are fairly steady compared to a similar poll from August 2023, conducted shortly after the most recent of the four indictments was brought.

Also steady were the results along party lines for Democrats and Republicans. Among respondents, those who identified as Democrats heavily favored the belief that Trump is guilty, ranging between 86 percent and 87 percent for each case. Republicans, conversely, favored the belief that Trump is not guilty, though to a less pronounced degree, between 60 percent and 67 percent for each case.

  • Admiral Patrick@dubvee.org
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    4 months ago

    Trump did a pretty good job of convincing me he was guilty (watching this particular crime live on TV will kind of do that), but it’s nice Jack Smith is reaching the people in the back of the class.

    • tsonfeir@lemm.ee
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      4 months ago

      He’s that one kid in class who has to take homework lessons to the sick kid who can’t come to school.

  • Nobody@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    The thing that bakes my noodle about J6 is that I wonder if the right wing would still have been able to spin it if the Capitol Police had been less effective and the crowd had gotten their hands on Members of Congress. Watching Congressmen and women get taken hostage, assaulted, or possibly killed on live television would have upped the stakes considerably. Still not sure if it would have been enough to overcome Trump’s widespread support and/or the spin machine that enables him.

    “Mostly peaceful with a few bad apples (who were actually Antifa)” already worked, and I’m not sure even more graphic and horrifying footage would have changed things on the right. They already condemned Trump immediately after J6, then reversed course when the base stayed with him.

      • vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works
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        4 months ago

        Speak for yourself, I could be plenty evil if I had the ability. Hell if I had a nuke id be at an impass of whether to glass Moscow or Salt lake city. My reasoning being blowing up Moscow would fuck up Russia and maybe get them to stop invading people and blowing up Salt lake city would piss off the Mormons.

          • vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works
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            4 months ago

            If it makes it any better I dont remember making that comment, but I can guess that it was fueled by me watching a couple documentaries while modding Morrowind. Fun fact kids modding Morrowind is infact a cognito hazard. But seriously if my watch history is anything to go by it took me 4 hours to get all the mods to play nice.

          • kromem@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            And statistically this hive of scum and villainy should be above average in wisdom.

      • John_McMurray@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        …A leftist person saying the left can’t be evil is either stupid, a liar, or possibly both if he thinks anyone believes that.

    • Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works
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      4 months ago

      There is a sense of momentum to these sorts of events. If they were able to exert violence on federal lawmakers, it would show the country how easy it could be and people would be marching into state capitols by the 7th, maybe quicker.

      If shit turned that way, they would have been forced to douse the fire with water. Not sure if that would escalate things like a grease fire or immediately extinguish.

  • zeppo@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Why do they make it sound like Jack Smith himself is attempting to do that?

  • paddirn@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Jack Smith has given me some small hope that maybe the rich & powerful can be made to answer for their crimes, but given the shenanigans getting pulled by the judge in that case, I’m not so sure.

      • joenforcer@midwest.social
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        4 months ago

        Fani fucked up big time. Apologists will come out and try to say that she handled it perfectly, but no, there shouldn’t have been a scandal to handle in the first place. These cases need to be airtight inside and out, and this was an incredibly stupid, easy to avoid issue. The Georgia case is arguably the most important because it’s a state crime. Regardless of the case itself, Fani already lost in the court of public opinion.

  • Thrillhouse@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Jack Smith is only responsible for 2 out of 4 of those cases, if I recall correctly. Misleading headline.

    • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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      4 months ago

      Yes

      I am distressed by the trend in news of reporting what a new Politico-Ipsos poll shows as if it were highly relevant information

      A better way to write this story would be “Only half of Americans believe Donald Trump is guilty even though he clearly is.” Fuck it, let him sue for defamation if he can find and pay some lawyers, I’d be happy to prove in court that he is in fact guilty as my way of defending myself.

    • njm1314@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      What do you mean outside the law? We’re talking about a Federal prosecutor, who is in the process of Prosecuting the case. This literally is the law.