• Carrolade@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    the path Biden has set – policies that, so far, have only prevented Ukraine from losing without providing it with a path to military victory.

    Hogwash.

    Ukraine has a path to victory, the political collapse of Russia’s top leadership or them finally running their expansive saved-up war chest and stockpiles of Soviet kit dry.

    What is not a viable path to victory is some imaginary scenario where Ukraine accomplishes what Hitler and Napoleon could not, and manages to fully capitulate Russia through military might. That’s woefully unrealistic and would face the nightmare of a land war in Asia, and likely Russian use of tactical nukes against enemy forces on their own land, as put forward in their own doctrine.

    So, the grinding path is actually the only path, and there was never any possible Ukrainian victory scenario where this war would go for any less than several years. We are currently at two, that is not very many.

    Not that Ukraine needs to pursue victory, if they wish to cede territory for peace, I understand and respect that. The decision should be theirs, though, and we should stand behind them until they make it of their own free will.

    • lolcatnip@reddthat.com
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      2 months ago

      A political collapse would be a lot more like likely if Russians had to worry about bombs falling on them.

      • Carrolade@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Political collapse, no, not really. Strategic bombing doesn’t tend to have that sort of effect, people get upset at the folks dropping the actual bombs. Economic, yes, though. They should be allowed to strike hydrocarbon and military production infrastructure.