Leading scientists worldwide delivered a striking dose of reality to the United Nations on Sunday: it’s “becoming inevitable” that countries will miss the ambitious target they set eight years ago for limiting the warming of the Earth.
The ominous estimate points to the growing likelihood that global warming will shoot past 1.5 degrees Celsius before the end of this century, inflicting what scientists describe as an overwhelming toll from intensifying storms, drought and heat on people and the economy. It also injects an urgent message into global climate talks in Dubai, where the debate over ramping down fossil fuels is set to flare over the next two weeks.
Surpassing the temperature threshold — even temporarily — would be a major blow to the international Paris climate agreement from 2015, which called for nations to keep global temperatures well within 2 degrees Celsius of their preindustrial levels, and within 1.5 degrees if at all possible. The findings come amid climate talks that for the first time are focused on taking stock of whether almost 200 nations are meeting that goal. Early indications offer a bleak picture.
Current estimate points to reaching +1.5 this year.
For one year, and there’s a debate going on in climate science because of how much you can extrapolate for a single year. The +1.5C they’re talking about would be sustained for the long run.
If the average drops back down to +0.9°C or below in 2024, I’ll eat my hat.
You’ll probably have to eat it any way, because of the famine.
Was gunna put /s but then I started to question myself.
its possible. our southern summer is lining up to be not as warm as initially expected so there’s a chance