President Biden’s reelection campaign announced Monday that it will aim to flip Florida, targeting the home of former President Trump.
Campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez said in a memo that investing in Florida is part of the Biden campaign’s pathway to 270 electoral votes. Trump won the Sunshine State in 2020 with more than 51 percent, compared to Biden’s 48 percent.
“Make no mistake: Florida is not an easy state to win, but it is a winnable one for President Biden, especially given Trump’s weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition,” she said.
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The Biden campaign has also set its sights on flipping North Carolina in November. Trump won North Carolina by a tight margin in 2020, and Biden visited the state as part of his tour of every battleground state last month.
Given that abortion and legal weed will both be on the ballot in Florida this cycle, turnout could a lot different this time around.
If it somehow did work, then it would mean Republicans would need to win PA, GA, and MI in addition to every other state they currently lead in. However, it is unlikely that this would work for Biden because the state is polling 47% to 40% weighted average in favor of Trump, if you include third party then Trump is winning with 46% to 39%.
270towin Florida
FiveThirtyEight Florida