• AutoTL;DR@lemmings.worldB
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    5 months ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    Younger and nonwhite voters — two bedrocks of the Democratic coalition — are especially unhappy with Biden, largely because of the state of the economy.

    They are a key part of the Democratic coalition, and they have not necessarily made peace with supporting Biden’s reelection.

    There’s a lot of those in the Sun Belt states,” Lakshya Jain, an analyst at the election modeling website Split Ticket, told me.

    Democratic strength in the Sun Belt comes from good minority margins, and if in polls, Biden is holding up well with white voters, but not necessarily super well with nonwhites, then you would expect that to be magnified in the Sun Belt, because that’s where whites are already pretty conservative and you have a very high share of minority voters.”

    And Jain, Iovino, and other data experts I spoke to told me they’re not entirely convinced with the specific numbers in the crosstabs: Trump, for example, is supposedly leading Biden among young voters nationally and winning women in Nevada.

    A look under the hood shows an upset and disengaged electorate — but one with many persuadable voters and Americans who may soon tune back into the political cycle.


    The original article contains 1,044 words, the summary contains 196 words. Saved 81%. I’m a bot and I’m open source!

  • KevonLooney@lemm.ee
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    5 months ago

    And despite the prevalence of the Israel-Palestine conflict, the issue does not seem to be the driver of Biden’s base or electorate troubles.

    “Defections over Gaza make up a little over 1 percent of Biden’s 2020 vote share. That’s not nothing, but also that’s such a small share. If you want to look at why Biden is sliding, the bigger reason is obviously the economy,” Jain told me. “If you look at people defecting over Gaza, 17 percent of them think that it’s because he’s been too favorable to Palestine.”

    It’s the economy, stupid.

      • Triasha@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        That doesn’t solve the mystery. If those sources were the only ones I could read, I still wouldn’t think Trump was anything but a liar.

        • OccamsRazer@lemmy.world
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          4 months ago

          You honestly believe that? Our perception of the world and our opinions is formed by what we see and here. It’s that simple. Not sure how you think you somehow transcend that, and have some innate ability to discern truth from propaganda. Whole nations and civilizations have been deceived by propaganda and none of us is above that. So the question we should be asking ourselves is what propaganda are we consuming and how is that affecting us?