“It’s not that the wind is blowing, it’s what the wind is blowing. If you get hit with a Volvo, it don’t matter how many pushups you did that morning.”
—Ron WhiteModels are seeming to lean towards Milton making landfall as a cat 4. We’ll see for sure tomorrow, but it’s not looking good.
I said whan this thing formed, it was going to be a cat 4 when it hits. The water is way too warm
I live in MI and my co-workers Mom just said that her county didn’t get an evacuation warning until this morning. She now has no option but to stay. There’s no gas, no flights out, and not enough time to go get her. He has to hope that Meatball Ron saves her at this point.
It sucks that she felt that she needed to wait to be told to leave to actually do it. I’m sorry she’s in this situation.
I wish her luck but how did she not see this coming?
When Ian came, I guess they evacuated her and then nothing happened, so she thought the same thing would happen. I don’t know, she’s not my mom
What about shelters?
I don’t know. I’m in Michigan.
The time to evac was two days ago.
Source: Been there done that, many times.
What is everyone’s temperature about the situation here? I have never lived in a hurricane prone area like Florida.
If I was basing it completely on national coverage, I am getting the impression that any region in the path of the Milton will get flattened by sudden sea rise. Even the AP article paints a grim picture:
TAMPA, Fla. (AP) — A steady rain fell in the Tampa Bay area Wednesday morning as a mighty Hurricane Milton churned toward a potentially catastrophic collision with the west coast of Florida, where some residents insisted they would stay even after millions were ordered to evacuate. Stragglers face grim odds of surviving, officials said
However, looking into it more and trying to be less emotional. Florida’s emergency management system is issuing evacuation orders for many counties in Milton’s path. But some “inland” counties like Polk have no evacuation orders despite adjacent county, Hillsborough, having mandatory evacuation orders [1].
Then if you navigate to the county level (ie, Hillsborough). Only specific zones were issued mandatory evacuation. At this time, residents of Hillsborough county in zones “A” and “B” (and all mobile homes) given mandatory evacuation. People in other zones advised it was optional [2].
What did we observe with Helene? Were these local government evacuation orders completely wrong and devastated areas that previously had optional evacuation?
[1] https://www.floridadisaster.org/evacuation-orders/
[2] https://hcfl.gov/residents/public-safety/emergency-management/find-evacuation-information
Helene grazed Florida. This is going to be a direct hit.
It’s looking like there was more storm surge with Helene. If Milton had hit 10-20 miles north though it would have been a toss up.
I used to do some hurricane stuff, and talked with some people who did national disaster ops in Katrina. This was the last storm where ops were based in the region, as they had to record last messages to their families and evacuate on foot from the flooding command center. A lot of people don’t know how to calculate risk and assume they will be fine. I hope they know to bring an ax into the attic if they retreat there.
