I can’t see any problems here. It’s not like there’s a famous novel about why this is a terrible idea or a movie about it with Ethan Hawke and Uma Thurman.

  • ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works
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    9 days ago

    We don’t have sufficient information to reliably predict IQ, but we do know hundreds of genetic loci associated with intelligence. The overall contribution of these loci is significant.

    The polygenic scores predicted 4–7% of intelligence variance in independent samples; another study predicted 10.6% [50]. Thus, a blood sample at birth in these samples predicts intelligence with about the same effect size as parental socioeconomic status, i.e. they do not predict well; neither is of practical use for predicting the intelligence of an individual.

    Source. (A review of the subject.)

    It’s true that the polygenic scores cannot reliably predict that one person will have a higher IQ than another, but that doesn’t mean that polygenic screening is useless as a tool for increasing the expected intelligence of one’s offspring. People who effectively screen their embryos will, on average, have slightly but significantly smarter children than people who don’t. In this way, screening is not qualitatively different from many other parental interventions.

    I would use this sort of screening if there was an opportunity to do so. (I don’t think it currently justifies resorting to IVF if that is otherwise not necessary, although it would if the effect was larger.)

    • Jaderick@lemmy.world
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      9 days ago

      PRS are useful but not definitive when it comes to phenotype development, as you’ve hinted at, but I take issue with using them for eugenics purposes with the main reason being we do not know the underlying causal mechanism. It is too early to use them with confidence for something like this IMO.

      I work with PRS and I am not confident in using them for IVF purposes (that may change when we understand what’s actually going on the proteomics level). I would equate it to something along the line of sports betting with the consequences being eugenics in nature.

      • ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works
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        9 days ago

        I would be worried about causal mechanisms if we were discussing artificially introduced mutations. However, these are naturally present alleles and they would be considered only for the purpose of selecting among otherwise equally viable embryos. In such circumstances, I think that the risk of proceeding without knowing the casual mechanisms is minimal.